Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO
704 am CDT Mon Jul 28 2014

Short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 215 am CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Not a lot to talk about today as a cool and comfortable airmass
continues to overspread the region this morning. Temperatures will
fall into the low 60s by sunrise under clear skies. Highs today will
be around 80 with abundant sunshine, with readings quickly cooling
back into the 50s and 60s tonight.

Long term...(tuesday through sunday)
issued at 215 am CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Cool and much less humid conditions will prevail for most of the
next 7 days, with temperatures the better part of 10 degrees below
normal. Dry weather is expected through Tuesday, before an area of
precipitation develops across the central and Southern Plains, and
tries to clip the southern and western portions of the forecast area
Wednesday into Thursday. Suspect that we will see a very sharp cutoff to
the northeastern edge of this shield of precipitation, and later
forecasts will need to refine where exactly this sets up across the
County Warning Area. For now, best precipitation potential appears to be across
areas west of U.S. 65 and south of U.S. 60, though amounts will stay
on the light side. At the very least, broken to overcast cloud cover
on Wednesday will knock temperatures down a few more degrees, with
some areas not rising above the upper 70s.

Some modest warming is expected later in the workweek, though
temperatures will remain below average through at least next
weekend. Isolated, dirunally driven showers and thunderstorms will
be possible later in the week given relatively cool air aloft, but
precipitation is not expected to be widespread. Temperatures in the
80s and lows in the 60s will be the norm.


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning)
issued at 701 am CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Pilots can expect VFR conditions today and tonight as surface high
pressure builds into the region. Northerly surface winds will be
gusty at times today then subside this evening.


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...boxell
long term...boxell

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations