Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO 
253 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013 


Short term...(this evening through friday) 
issued at 255 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013 


Below normal temperatures will occur through Friday. Temperatures 
are currently in the middle 60s to the lower 70s this afternoon. A 
weak surface cold front is currently pushing south through the 
region and will move through area this evening into tonight. 
Chilly conditions will occur tonight as lows fall into the lower 
50s across southeastern Kansas and far southwestern Missouri to 
the middle 40s across portions of central and south central 
Missouri. 


Temperatures on Friday will be very similar to those today as 
highs top out in the upper 60s to the middle 70s. A weak 
disturbance will push south through Kansas and Oklahoma on Friday 
and will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to those areas. 
At this time feel this activity will remain west of the area. 


Long term...(friday night through thursday) 
issued at 255 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013 


Upper level ridging will build over the region this weekend. An 
upper level disturbance will push across north Missouri Friday 
night into Saturday. A few showers and thunderstorms will be 
possible across the far northern portions of the forecast area 
during this time frame but the better potential will be north of 
our forecast area. 


Better chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms at times 
will occur Sunday into Monday. Not expecting a washout but will 
have to watch for thunderstorm development especially during the 
afternoon hours. 


A warming trend will occur this weekend into next week as highs 
warm back into the upper 70s to the middle 8os each afternoon. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Friday afternoon) 
issued at 1211 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013 


Looks like VFR conditions are expected through the period. Remnant 
convection from mesoscale convective system over Oklahoma will remain to the 
west...however middle/high level cloudiness will likely spill into 
western Missouri this afternoon. 




&& 


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories... 
MO...none. 
Kansas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...wise 
long term...wise 
aviation...lindenberg