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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO
608 PM CDT Mon Jul 28 2014

Short term...(this evening through tuesday)

What fabulous conditions for late July. Temperatures ranged from
the upper 70s to the lower 80s, under sunny skies and light
northerly breezes.

This cool and dry airmass will lead to chilly temperatures tonight
with lows in the 50s. West Plains and vichy's record lows could be in
jeopardy tonight. See the climate section below.

For Tuesday an identical day is expected, with highs in the upper
70s and lower 80s. No precipitation is expected until late Tuesday
night. These precipitation chances are limited to far southeast
Kansas and far southwest Missouri as an area of rainfall
approaches from the west.

Long term...(tuesday night through monday)

Wednesday's precipitation is more likely to occur along and
southwest of a line from Girard Kansas to Bull Shoals Lake. There
is a chance that Springfield could get clipped by the northern
edge of this rainfall, but chances are better down toward Branson.

Wednesday's precipitation will cause temperatures to remain in the
70s for many locations. Perhaps the warmest readings on Wednesday
will occur in central Missouri, an area that should not receive
any rain.

For Thursday and Friday, we decreased rain chances as there
remains no identifiable signal for organized lift. Temperatures
should stay cool, with highs in the lower 80s.

We should experience a gradual warm up into the weekend with
afternoon highs reaching the middle 80s on Saturday and Sunday.

The latest European model (ecmwf) suggests that the southeast Canadian high will
finally shift off over the Atlantic Ocean, which will allow
southerly flow to return to the Ozarks eventually. There does not appear
to be a signal for oppressive heat anytime soon.


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Tuesday evening)
issued at 603 PM CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period as a
Canadian air mass remains in place. A few cumulus along with
mid/high level clouds can be expected during the day Tuesday.



Tuesday morning (7/29)
forecast record
Springfield 58 52 (1965)
Joplin 59 57 (1994)
West Plains 56 55 (1994)
Vichy 55 56 (1981)


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...Cramer
long term...Cramer

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