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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Pueblo Colorado
259 PM MDT Friday Mar 27 2015

Short term...(this evening through saturday)
issued at 259 PM MDT Friday Mar 27 2015

..warm and generally dry...

Tonight...upper high pressure over Colorado will start to weaken
slightly but still remain strong. A spotty rain or snow shower will
be possible over the higher terrain during the early evening
hours...but then clearing skies are expected with overnight lows
near or a little above average for this time of year.

Warm weather is on the way for Saturday...with highs 15-20 degrees
above average and nearing record levels. Upper high pressure over
Colorado will continue to weaken slightly but still remain strong
enough to Ward off any significant weather. Once again...there
could be a spotty rain or snow shower over the higher terrain due to
afternoon instability...but...for the most part...dry skies are
expected with plenty of sunshine.

Some temperature stats for Colorado Springs...Pueblo and Alamosa for

Springs...normal high 55...record high 80/1963...forecast high 76
Pueblo....normal high 62...record high 84/1986...forecast high 82
Alamosa...normal high 54...record high 69/2012...forecast high 70

Note...the records for Pueblo and Alamosa also occurred in previous

Long term...(saturday night through friday)
issued at 259 PM MDT Friday Mar 27 2015

Saturday night...shortwave trough prognosticated to move through the
northern rockies and High Plains...sending a cold front through
the I-25 corridor and southeast plains overnight. Not enough
moisture to do much more than some sprinkles. Winds will likely be
quite gusty just behind the front in the late night across the
plains...with some gusts reaching over 30 miles per hour.

Sunday and Sunday night...temperatures will be lower than
saturdays warm readings...but still above normal for late March.
NAM and GFS models show moister air and some upslope flow across
the isolated to scattered showers will fire up
mainly across the higher terrain in the afternoon...and will
linger through the evening.

Monday and Monday night...upper ridge across the Great Basin will
nose into Colorado. Despite the ridging...both NAM and GFS
showing isolated to scattered afternoon showers across the higher
terrain and adjacent lower elevations...with higher temperatures
than Sunday.

Tuesday...the upper ridge is forecast to flatten as a more
vigorous shortwave moves into the Great Basin. There will be
enough moisture to provide high-based showers over the higher
terrain. Temperatures will continue to be above normal for the
last day of March.

Wednesday...the shortwave prognosticated to move across The Rockies and
by evening it will force cooler air southward through the eastern
part of our County Warning Area. Air mass forecast to be fairly only
isolated mainly higher elevation probability of precipitation in the grids for now.

Thursday and Friday...the cooler air will remain across the
area...with the best chance for greater coverage of showers on
Friday. Temperatures could be lower than the current procedure
forecast...but...for now...we match up fairly well with our
neighbors at this time. -Tlm-


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 259 PM MDT Friday Mar 27 2015

Upper level high pressure will bring generally dry and unseasonably
warm weather to the region through Saturday. Weak instability may
generate a spotty rain or snow shower over the higher terrain until
03z this evening...and again tomorrow after 21z. Otherwise...dry
skies are expected. Despite a brief...spotty MVFR/IFR condition
associated with any high terrain shower activity...VFR expected
across flight area next 24 hours...including kcos...kpub and kals
taf sites.


Pub watches/warnings/advisories...



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