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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Pueblo Colorado
301 PM MDT Friday Aug 29 2014

Short term...(this evening through monday)
issued at 200 PM MDT Friday Aug 29 2014


At 1 PM...isolated showers and storms were noted over the Front
Range up in NE Colorado and they were moving southeast. Otherwise...mostly
sunny skies prevailed over the region. Temperatures were warm...with middle
80s over the plains...u70s over El Paso County...and generally 60s
and 70s in the mtns/valleys. Winds were generally from the north-northwest at
5 to 15 miles per hour.

Rest of today and tonight....

A few high based storms will occur...mainly over the greater Pikes
Peak region. A few additional storms will be possible over the rest
of the mountains with a few of the storms moving southeast across the adjacent
plains. After sunset...any storms should dissipate with loss of
heating. With dewpoints in the 30s and 40s...and no significant forcing
aloft...the threat of heavy rain is very I do not
anticipate any burn scar issues at this time.


Based on will likely be dryer tomorrow than today as
middle level ridge move overhead and zonal flow aloft increases. Any
storms that do develop will be high based. It will be hot on this
day with temperatures well above normal...expect highs in the 90-94f range
most of plains with 70s and 80s valleys..50s and 60s mountains


Weak trough will move over region and this will usher a weak cool
front to come across the area during the late morning and/or
afternoon. Atmos appears dry behind the front...but I would expect
we may see an uptick in convection as compared to Sat. Temperatures may
actually be a bit warmer on this day...depending on the frontal passage. For
now...I have temperatures in the m90s most of plains. Best chance of any
thunderstorms would be in the evening.


Dry weather expected during the afternoon time period with temperatures cooling
back down several degrees...with highs mainly in the 80s plains.

Long term...(monday night through friday)
issued at 200 PM MDT Friday Aug 29 2014

Longer term meteorological concerns include temperatures
and generally low-grade probability of precipitation until late next week when
precipitation chances are projected to increase.

Basically dry zonal to southwesterly upper flow is anticipated
over the forecast district from Monday night into Thursday
before increasing atmospheric moisture returns to southern
Colorado from later Thursday into next Friday.

At the surface...varying degrees of eastern Colorado Lee-side
troughing is anticipated from Monday night into next Friday.
Also...northerly to northeasterly surface surges will be
possible over eastern sections of the County warning forecast area from next Thursday
into next Friday.

Finally...generally above seasonal early September maximum and
minimum temperatures should be noted from Monday night into next
Friday with warmest conditions expected Wednesday and Thursday.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 200 PM MDT Friday Aug 29 2014

VFR conditions expected at and als over the next 24 hours.
Isolated high based storms can be expected across the higher terrain
this afternoon...with a few storms possibly sliding east across the
adjacent plains late this afternoon and early evening. Best chances
of storms affecting terminals will be at cos.


Pub watches/warnings/advisories...




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