Scientific Forecaster Discussion

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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
820 am EDT Wednesday Apr 16 2014

Synopsis...
high pressure will provide a dry and chilly day. Temperatures
will moderate toward normal readings on Thursday.

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Near term /until 6 PM this evening/...
high pressure transitioning over the region today will result in
mostly sunny conditions and a moderate temperature recovery...with
daytime maximum temperatures approximately 10 degrees below normal.

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Short term /6 PM this evening through Saturday/...
high pressure will keep the area dry through the short term. Temperatures
will return to near normal readings Thursday and Friday. A weak
cold front will begin to cross the area late Friday. Models
continue to show a lack of moisture with the boundary so for
now...feel sch probability of precipitation are appropriate.

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Long term /Saturday night through Tuesday/...
early week rain chances will accompany a crossing shortwv. Given the
open nature of the wave and resulting timing and moisture supply
issues...chance probability of precipitation will suffice. Otherwise...temperatures near...or a few
degrees above the seasonal avgs are projected given the
zonal...but undulatory flow projection.

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Aviation /12z Wednesday through Sunday/...
light winds and mainly clear skies today as high pressure moves
across the region.

Outlook.../Thursday through Sunday/...
rstrns are possible with the advance and passage of Friday night low
pressure.

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Pbz watches/warnings/advisories...
Maryland...none.
Ohio...none.
PA...none.
WV...none.

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