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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
216 PM CDT Sat may 30 2015

Discussion...
rain continues to decrease and move out of the area. The rain is
expected to end by late afternoon. Models show the trough shifting east
of the region this weekend with a weak disturbance rotating around
the back side which may cause a few showers/storms. However... with
the drier airmass that has moved into the forecast area... think this will be a
little bit more difficult so will keep the forecast dry for the rest
of the weekend.

Models show that the trough becomes a closed low that lingers over
the southeast U.S. Despite ridging developing behind the low any other weak
disturbances rotating around the backside of the low may cause a few
showers/storms at least the early part of next week when the upper
low is closer to the region. However... identifying when and if
these disturbances occur is difficult so with the uncertainty have
kept the forecast dry early next week... for now. The good news is
that if do get some rain... it will not be widespread and cause the
kind of problems we have had over the past several weeks.

Models show ridging will continue through much of next week. The
European model (ecmwf) maintains the ridging into next weekend which means very
little rain chance through the week. The GFS does show a shortwave
breaks down the ridge a little bit and moves into the Central Plains
late next week. If this happens... some showers/storms would be
possible across northern portions of the forecast area. Despite the GFS
solution... will keep forecast dry for now.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 55 75 58 79 / 0 0 0 10
Hobart OK 53 78 59 81 / 0 0 10 10
Wichita Falls Texas 56 79 60 83 / 0 0 10 10
gage OK 49 77 59 83 / 0 0 10 0
Ponca City OK 52 75 56 78 / 0 0 0 10
Durant OK 59 76 60 81 / 10 0 0 0

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

06/25

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