Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK 
345 PM CDT Wednesday Jun 19 2013 


Discussion... 
the very persistent storm complex that passed through our 
southwestern counties has complicated the forecast for this 
evening/overnight. It appears that the greatest risk of storms 
will be in the north tonight. A series of ill-defined waves in the 
southwest flow aloft will keep low probability of precipitation in the forecast at 
times...again mainly in the north...for a few more days. 


Models show the upper ridge strengthening over our forecast area 
as the week progresses...so temperatures should start to rise on a 
daily basis. Relatively wet/green surface conditions in the east 
will hold afternoon temperatures down a bit...while the west warms 
toward the upper 90s. 


Overall...changes to the forecast this time around are relatively 
minor. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Oklahoma City OK 69 89 71 90 / 10 20 10 0 
Hobart OK 70 96 72 96 / 10 10 10 0 
Wichita Falls Texas 72 95 73 95 / 10 10 0 0 
gage OK 69 96 73 93 / 10 10 10 10 
Ponca City OK 69 88 72 92 / 30 30 10 10 
Durant OK 71 91 72 93 / 10 10 0 0 


&& 


Oun watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


84/23