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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
304 PM CST Friday Feb 12 2016

Discussion...
the main concerns for this forecast as a chance for precipitation
Sunday into Monday morning and elevated fire weather concerns next
week.

Dry and seasonably cool weather will continue into the weekend
before a series of shortwaves make their way over the area. The
first of these will come through Sunday morning...bringing a chance
for precipitation across southeast Oklahoma Sunday through Monday
morning. Models are fairly consistent here.

Starting Tuesday...MOS guidance starts to show some signal of low relative humidity
values across western Oklahoma and western North Texas. During this
time...the ridge builds back in allowing temperatures to quickly
rise...reaching into well above normal by Thursday. Given the poor
performance of models on these warm and dry days over recent
weeks...nudged temperatures a bit above MOS guidance and nudged
dewpoints down toward MOS guidance. Winds should remain fairly light
Tuesday and Wednesday...but Thursday may see some breezier
conditions that could result in some elevated fire weather concerns.

Beyond Thursday...models show a continuing progressive pattern with
another shortwave moving through Friday.

Mad

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 28 53 42 59 / 0 0 10 20
Hobart OK 30 55 44 63 / 0 0 10 10
Wichita Falls Texas 33 61 48 69 / 0 0 10 10
gage OK 25 55 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 23 45 35 54 / 0 0 10 10
Durant OK 36 55 44 59 / 0 0 10 30

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

06/14

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