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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Norman OK
1210 am CDT Tuesday may 5 2015

Aviation...
storms will move toward western taf sites around sunrise. Some
areas of MVFR ceilings will be possible overnight and into the morning
hours Tuesday... but may not be as widespread as earlier thought.
Will see scattered storms through the day and into Tuesday night
with MVFR or even some IFR ceilings more likely near the end of the
taf forecast period.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 940 PM CDT Monday may 4 2015/

Update...
storm chances lowered for tonight most of the area.

Discussion...
showers and storms expected to make very slow progress eastward
off of Texas High Plains this evening and tonight with primarily
meridional steering flow. Probability of precipitation were lowered or removed over all
but far western Oklahoma and adjacent parts of North Texas. Forecasted
shortwave...influenced by evolving mesoscale convective vortex over West Texas...still forecast
to rotate north/NE across Panhandle overnight. Until this occurs...we
believe that bulk if not all of storm activity will stay west of
our County Warning Area. Once storms do make it late tonight...they should stay
well below severe levels. Minimal changes to winds and temperatures.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 63 77 65 77 / 80 40 50 30
Hobart OK 62 79 63 78 / 80 40 50 30
Wichita Falls Texas 65 80 65 79 / 80 30 60 30
gage OK 59 81 62 82 / 70 30 20 40
Ponca City OK 65 78 65 79 / 80 60 40 30
Durant OK 64 78 66 79 / 70 40 20 30

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

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