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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
614 am CDT sun Jul 13 2014

12z tafs... VFR conditions expected throughout the taf period.
Scattered showers/storms will be possible later this afternoon
into early Monday morning across parts of the area. The best
chance will be across northern Oklahoma but chances to low to
mention in some of the tafs at this time.


Previous discussion... /issued 335 am CDT sun Jul 13 2014/

convection in Kansas and Colorado early this morning is expected to
dissipate and/or remain north of the forecast area this morning. A cold front
and/or outflow boundaries will extend across parts of the area
today and will be a focus for shower/storm development this
afternoon. The cold front will slowly sag south or stall today
into Monday. Another frontal boundary will move into the area
Monday night as the upper trough swings into the eastern U.S. This
boundary is expected to push farther south than the initial front.
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through Tuesday
with the boundaries in the area. Some drier air is expected to
move in behind the second front so during the day Tuesday may be
relatively quiet. However... upslope flow and
disturbance/shortwaves in the middle/upper levels will lead to
continued shower and thunderstorm chances across parts of the area
through Saturday with the best chance for rain across much of the
area being Tuesday night through Wednesday.

Hot temperatures will continue today... especially ahead of the
boundaries... with several locations reaching triple digits. With
rain... clouds... and the first frontal boundary... slightly cooler
temperatures are expected during the day Monday but a big cool down
is expected beginning Tuesday after the second front moves across
the area. High temperatures will likely drop into the 70s and 80s
across much of the area with those temperatures continuing through
much of the work week. Temperatures will begin to warm back up next
weekend as models show the upper ridge trying to build back into the


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 98 73 93 66 / 10 30 30 40
Hobart OK 99 73 96 66 / 10 20 30 40
Wichita Falls Texas 100 75 98 71 / 0 10 20 50
gage OK 93 68 91 60 / 20 30 30 30
Ponca City OK 94 70 91 61 / 20 40 30 30
Durant OK 102 75 99 70 / 0 10 20 50


Oun watches/warnings/advisories...



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