Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Norman OK
1154 PM CDT Monday may 25 2015
Aviation...26/06z taf issuance...
primary aviation challenge overnight will be potential MVFR fog
development. Broken to overcast middle-level clouds continue to linger across
central to eastern OK... with a window of clearing across western OK and
western North Texas... with scattered middle-level clouds over the Texas ph. At 05z...
kduc dipped to 5sm br. With nearly calm winds and surface dpt
depressions of 2 to 3 degrees... MVFR fog appears likely to
develop across southern to central OK and western North Texas. Light south winds
will continue through the morning... with another chance of thunderstorms and rain
developing late Tuesday afternoon through the end of the period. Have
confidence in tempos across southern OK and western North Texas... but prob30s
will be needed for central OK... as confidence in northern extent of
thunder is low.
Previous discussion... /issued 641 PM CDT Monday may 25 2015/
Aviation...26/00z taf issuance...
VFR ceilings should persist through the evening at all sites.
Gusty winds have developed behind the primary region of
precipitation across central Oklahoma. Winds may relax enough
overnight for MVFR fog to develop at most sites... persisting
through Tuesday morning. Felt confident to put tempos in for
thunderstorms late tmrw afternoon/evening at sites across central...
western... and southern Oklahoma and northern Texas.
Previous discussion... /issued 248 PM CDT Monday may 25 2015/
band of strong to severe storms expected to exit the area early
this evening... so anticipate letting the Flash Flood Watch expire
at 00z this evening.
Otherwise... not much in the way of changes moving forward. We
still see an active week ahead with daily chances for rain and
thunderstorms. Next couple of days may be more scattered...
however more significant disturbance will approach the Southern
Plains by the end of the week... bringing increased precipitation chances
along with heavy rainfall and continue strong to severe weather risk.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 58 81 63 83 / 10 30 50 40
Hobart OK 56 80 60 85 / 10 20 30 30
Wichita Falls Texas 58 85 65 87 / 10 30 30 40
gage OK 52 79 56 83 / 20 20 20 30
Ponca City OK 58 80 62 83 / 20 20 40 30
Durant OK 61 82 67 84 / 20 20 40 30