Scientific Forecaster Discussion

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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
334 am CDT sun Apr 20 2014

Discussion...
the increased moisture and approach of an upper trough from the
west is bringing the first round of rain to areas in and near southwest
Oklahoma. The area is expected to move into the rest of western
and part of central Oklahoma later this morning with light
amounts and little thunder. Several models indicate a second round
of rain later this afternoon from south central into central
Oklahoma, when Oklahoma City will have the best chance. The trough
will be slow to move east and a third round of rain may occur in
central and north central Oklahoma. In general, amounts are not to
expected to be heavy. Only modest amounts of cape are expected in
OK with more instability south of the Red River. After the clouds
move out with the trough later Monday, the rest of the week will
be in a warming trend. An upper low moving through the northern
plains late Wednesday and Thursday will bring another chance for
rain. This time, the dryline is expected to move into western
Oklahoma. Depending on timing, this could bring heightened
wildfire potential and a focus for strong thunderstorms. Models
are not congruent with the pattern for next weekend, but they do
bring rain late in the weekend.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 75 59 74 51 / 60 60 50 10
Hobart OK 74 57 80 52 / 50 50 30 0
Wichita Falls Texas 75 60 81 54 / 50 50 40 10
gage OK 77 56 78 51 / 40 40 20 0
Ponca City OK 79 59 74 47 / 50 60 60 0
Durant OK 79 61 77 57 / 30 60 50 30

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

06/09