Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1208 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014
patchy fog will be possible again overnight and have included a
prevailing group with MVFR visibility in fog at kpnc where the
probability is the highest... although fog will be possible at
other sites as well. Clouds will increase from the southwest
through the forecast period with the chance of
showers/thunderstorms moving into the area Wednesday afternoon.
Previous discussion... /issued 347 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014/
a few fair cumulus have developed this afternoon across OK. These
will diminish after sunset resulting in clear skies. Expect some
patchy fog again late tonight and early tomorrow morning along the
eastern zones where the pressure gradient will be loose and
low level moisture high.
Still expect winds to increase across the west tomorrow as a Lee
surface low deepens in response to a middle to upper level trough
traversing The Rockies and northern plains. Associated lift with
the trough late Wednesday through early Thursday will result in scattered
showers and isolated thunder mainly across central and northern
OK. SW/west OK and western North Texas may also be favored near the
ler of an upper jet early Wednesday evening.
Temperatures will remain reasonable (around 5-7 degrees above avg)
through Thursday thanks to cloud cover...rain chances and lower
thicknesses. However...by this weekend expect a quick warmup as an
upper ridge settles directly overhead with temperatures approaching
record highs. It will finally cool off early next week as a
deeper trough moves across the plains Monday and a fairly Stout
cold front moves through Monday night. Some rain may also
accompany this front and trough. For now...will keep probability of precipitation in the
low chance category.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 58 79 57 85 / 40 10 0 0
Hobart OK 57 80 57 85 / 50 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 59 81 58 86 / 40 10 0 0
gage OK 53 78 55 86 / 30 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 59 77 56 84 / 50 20 0 0
Durant OK 56 75 57 82 / 20 20 0 0