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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
524 am CST Wednesday Nov 26 2014

12z tafs... VFR conditions through the taf period with some middle
and high clouds moving across the region. A cold front will also
move through the rest of the taf sites in the next couple of


Previous discussion... /issued 334 am CST Wednesday Nov 26 2014/

a cold front will continue to move across the forecast area this morning as
shortwave moves from the northern/Central Plains into the Ohio
Valley today. A few sprinkles or snow flurries may affect parts of
north central OK this morning. Likelihood is low but not completely
out of the question so put a mention of isolated sprinkles/flurries in weather
grids with around a 10 percent pop.

Winds will shift back to the south Thursday and temperatures will
warm late this week into the weekend. Warmest temperatures expected
Saturday and ahead of a cold front Sunday. The cold front on Sunday
will lead to cooler and below average temperatures on Monday with highs
in the 40s to low 50s. Currently do not expect any precipitation with
this front.

There is uncertainty in the models after Monday. Models show major
inconsistencies from run to run and with each other. The GFS and
European model (ecmwf) continue to show an upper level wave moving across the central
U.S. Towards the middle to latter half of next week but there are
major differences in timing/path/strength of this system with the
GFS faster with the system than the European model (ecmwf). It appears that the GFS
is a little more erratic/inconsistent from run to run. Whatever the
timing of this system... models show some precipitation could be
possible for parts of the forecast area when it finally moves across the
central U.S.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 56 29 55 39 / 10 0 0 0
Hobart OK 56 30 56 38 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 60 32 59 40 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 53 26 60 36 / 10 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 51 24 50 37 / 10 0 0 0
Durant OK 60 33 57 38 / 0 0 0 0


Oun watches/warnings/advisories...



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