Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1143 PM CDT Friday may 24 2013
Aviation...06z taf issuance...
convection will continue to diminish through the early morning
hours across southern OK and western North Texas. Ceilings will continue to
improve for a brief window of time across western and northwestern OK
overnight as the upper level ridge axis continues to shift east
with a dry slot impinging the eastern portion of the Texas Panhandle.
However...convection across eastern nm will result in increasing
clouds from west to east through the early morning as the upper
level ridge shifts further ewrd. Expect ceilings to remain VFR
through the morning...but a few locations may drop near MVFR
through Saturday as clouds build back across the Southern Plains.
Winds will remain out of the south...breezy at times...with gusts
into the 20 knots range.
Kurtz
&&
Previous discussion... /issued 843 PM CDT Friday may 24 2013/
Update...
updated probability of precipitation and temperatures...
Discussion...
made only minor changes to this evenings probability of precipitation as isolated
thunderstorms continue across western and southern OK and western North Texas. On the
whole...radar trends would suggest that storms are starting to
weaken slightly now that the sun has set. Overall...these updrafts
have remained sub-severe...although one over Roger Mills County
around 730 resulted in a 64 miles per hour gust at Cheyenne and quarter sized
hail at roll. Expect any additional updrafts this evening to
remain below severe limits...but 40 to 50 miles per hour wind gusts remain
likely...with some small hail as well. Look for activity to
continue to dissipate through midnight...so kept chance to slight
chance probability of precipitation through 06z. Will continue to monitor trends...as
additional updates may be needed later this evening...especially
06 to 12z time frame.
Kurtz
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 66 84 65 85 / 30 30 20 10
Hobart OK 65 86 65 90 / 50 20 20 10
Wichita Falls Texas 66 86 66 91 / 50 30 20 10
gage OK 65 86 64 91 / 50 20 20 10
Ponca City OK 66 82 66 87 / 10 20 20 20
Durant OK 66 82 66 86 / 50 30 30 20
&&
Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&
$$
