Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
251 PM CDT Friday Jul 3 2015

Discussion...
scattered convection has formed early this afternoon along a
couple of surface boundaries...one in northwest/north-
Central/Northeast Oklahoma...and another south of the Red River
in Texas. Short-range models suggest that the highest chances for
storms this evening will be along our
southeastern...western...and southern border counties. The same
models generally reduce convection overnight...but the chances do
not go completely away. Severe storms are possible this
evening...but organized severe storms are improbable.

An uncapped and somewhat unstable atmosphere will remain
tomorrow...and disorganized convection will be possible again.

On Monday and Tuesday...a much higher chance for rain and storms
will arrive in association with a cold front and associated upper-
level wave.

Temperatures will be mainly seasonal through the forecast
period...except on Tuesday...when widespread storms and clouds
will likely hold afternoon temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees
below average.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 71 89 73 90 / 20 30 30 30
Hobart OK 70 92 73 94 / 20 20 20 10
Wichita Falls Texas 73 93 75 95 / 30 20 10 10
gage OK 67 91 72 93 / 20 20 20 10
Ponca City OK 68 89 73 90 / 20 10 50 50
Durant OK 71 90 73 89 / 50 50 20 30

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

26/23

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations