Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Norman OK
1000 am CST Thursday Dec 25 2014
overall forecast looks pretty good. Winds are maybe a little
slower at increasing but still expected to become stronger over
the next few hours as begin to mix. Have added Blaine County to
Wind Advisory since Watonga is the only mesonet site currently
gusting above 40 miles per hour otherwise rest of advisory still looks good.
Still looks like elevated fire weather concerns this afternoon with the
strong winds and humidities dropping to around 20 percent for a
couple of hours in western parts of the forecast area. However... temperatures and
humidities are generally expected to remain below critical levels
so will hold off on any fire weather headlines for now. Updates out
Previous discussion... /issued 606 am CST Thursday Dec 25 2014/
a strong...gusty south wind will prevail today with VFR
conditions. A cold front will enter far northwest Oklahoma
around 12z Friday.
Previous discussion... /issued 404 am CST Thursday Dec 25 2014/
a strong and gusty south wind can be expected today as a storm
system moves across the intermountain west. The stronger gusts
are expected in central and north central Oklahoma...mainly from
late morning to around sunset.
This system will track across the southern and central rockies
Friday into Saturday. Meanwhile...much colder air will begin to
filter into the Southern Plains early Friday through Friday night.
Clouds will increase ahead of the front...as moisture from south
Texas moves northward. Some light rain showers may
develop...especially across southeast Oklahoma. As cold air
deepens Friday night into early Saturday...some light snow may
develop in western Oklahoma. By sunrise Saturday...areas along and
northwest of I-44 may see some snow.
Dry conditions are expected from late Saturday through late Monday
with slightly below average temperatures.
Much colder air is on schedule for Tuesday into Wednesday. Time
to bundle up.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 58 42 53 31 / 0 0 10 40
Hobart OK 60 40 52 29 / 0 0 10 30
Wichita Falls Texas 64 43 60 35 / 0 0 10 30
gage OK 63 33 40 21 / 0 0 20 30
Ponca City OK 57 41 49 29 / 0 0 20 40
Durant OK 58 45 57 41 / 0 10 20 40
OK...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for okz007-008-012-
Texas...Wind Advisory until 5 PM CST this afternoon for txz085-086-