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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Nashville Tennessee
936 am CDT Friday Apr 18 2014
surface low situated over the northern Gulf this morning. Rain showers
covering much of the southern two thirds of both Alabama and Georgia. Just a
few light echos indicated in middle Tennessee along the Tennessee River. The surface
low will track east-northeast today with the bulk of the moisture remaining
to the southeast of the middle state. Still though...cloudiness
should persist with perhaps a few light showers developing here
and there. This is in response to a virtually cut off low over
Louisiana. The axis by afternoon will extend NE across middle Tennessee.
So,,,I will keep the low chances for shower activity going.
Otw...temperatures and winds look to be in good shape.
Will reissue updates to remove morning wording.
Previous discussion... /issued 622 am CDT Friday Apr 18 2014/
12z tafs...a low pressure system along the Gulf Coast and an upper
low coming from the MS valley will bring cloudy skies and isolated
rain showers this taf period. The probability for rain showers looks too low to include
in tafs...and VFR ceilings/visibilities are expected.
Previous discussion... /issued 351 am CDT Friday Apr 18 2014/
Short term...it was mostly cloudy and relatively mild across the
middle state early this morning...with 3 am temperatures mainly in
the 50s. Satellite pics showed a wide swath of high clouds
extending from Gulf of Mexico low pressure area northward, up
across middle Tennessee. Have also observed a finger of lower
clouds, between 5k and 7k feet developing northward over western
parts of the middle state, in association with a weak low pressure
trough near the MS river.
Expect most of the middle state to be located between two rain areas
today. The most significant precipitation area will be associated with
the Gulf of Mexico low, and may nip our most eastern and
southeastern areas late today and this evening. The other area,
will be associated with that weak low pressure area over western
Tennessee. Have nudged probability of precipitation up into the chance category over our western
counties this morning, but broad-brushed with a slight chance for
all of the middle state this afternoon.
Still looks like a nice Easter weekend coming up, as our Gulf low
meanders slowly eastward to off the northeast Florida coast and
pulls most of the clouds out of our eastern areas by Saturday
night. Easter Sunday look really nice, with sunshine and highs in
the middle to upper 70s most areas.
Another cold front sweeps in Monday and Tuesday, bringing an
increased chance for showers and thunderstorms.
Long term...high pressure builds in for the middle to latter part
of next week, bringing dry and seasonably warm conditions to the