Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Nashville Tennessee
841 PM CST Thursday Feb 11 2016

for evening discussion.



Trends are on their way up in regards to the potential for
accumulating snow in the north and northeast overnight into the
morning hours Friday. Decided to issue a Winter Weather Advisory
for the northeast as current forecast update shows around an inch
with some higher amounts possible in the advisory area. The 00z
NAM showed a much more aggressive snow band moving through the
northern zones overnight...and if the trend continues with the
other models...advisory snow looks more likely. The advisory may
need to be expanded south and west if the developing snow band
impacts those areas. For now...will just continue the Special Weather Statement for the
remaining zones. Updated the forecast to match current observation as
well. Updates on the way.


00z taf discussion.

VFR with MVFR ceilings moving in overnight. Chances for snow will
mainly impact kcsv tomorrow morning...but before then clouds will
roll in from the northwest. Current thinking is MVFR ceilings to
arrive early tomorrow morning for all taf sites...but may move in
earlier. Kcsv may see IFR ceilings tomorrow morning as well but left
in MVFR for now. Models want taf sites to return to VFR by
tomorrow afternoon. Northwest winds should pick up tomorrow late
morning into the afternoon to be around 10 knots gusting to around
15 knots as well.


Ohx watches/warnings/advisories...
Winter Weather Advisory from 3 am to noon CST Friday for Clay-



Short term/aviation........10/Reagan
long term..................06/Barnwell

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations