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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Nashville Tennessee
156 PM CST Monday Nov 30 2015 inverted trough attached to a weak low situated
over southeast MS is stretched across middle Tennessee this afternoon,
with light rain already re-developing as deeper moisture pushes
into the middle state. A strong cold front will finally come through
middle Tennessee overnight and tomorrow morning, with plenty of
Post frontal moisture keeping US wet throughout the day Tuesday
and into the evening before the precipitation ends from west to
east Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Will keep thunderstorms
out of the forecast, as NAM/GFS model soundings fail to show any
cape even with the frontal passage. Quantitative precipitation forecast totals from this evening through
tomorrow evening (30 hours) range from nearly 1.5 inches across
the Cumberland Plateau to around one-half inch around Land-
Between-The-Lakes. Look for strong cold advection behind the
front, with temperatures finally dropping back to seasonal norms
from Wednesday at least through Saturday, and the dry period
lasting until Sunday night or Monday.



A Flood Watch continues for middle Tennessee east of I-65 until
midnight tomorrow night. This is where quantitative precipitation forecast values remain the
highest, and where they have already received the most
precipitation thus far. However, minor river flooding is possible
in areas even west of the watch area due to slow rises as
rainfall continues areawide for the next 30-36 hours.


Ohx watches/warnings/advisories...
Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for Cannon-Clay-Coffee-
Cumberland-Delaware kalb-Fentress-Grundy-Jackson-Overton-Pickett-
Putnam-Smith-Van Buren-Warren-white.



Short term/aviation........19
long term..................08

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