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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
629 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015

Short term...(today through thursday)
issued at 235 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015

Temperatures and timing of showers associated with upper trough
and surface cold front Wednesday night and Thursday will be the
main concerns in the short term.

Spotty returns showing up on radar over eastern parts of the area
at 07z are expected to push east of the area or dissipate by the
start of the period as upper ridge builds into the region. Nothing
has been reported at the surface so far but expect only sprinkles
if any precipitation does occur through 11z.

Variable sky cover is expected across the area today into
Wednesday as broad area of high pressure at the surface and
ridging aloft maintains a weak wind flow over the lower Missouri
Valley. The lower level moisture appears to hang around until the
cold front clears things out on Thursday.

The forecast area looks to be between the better forcing on
Wednesday night and Thursday so probability of precipitation kept on the lower end of
chance category at this time. Although all models hint at this in
there quantitative precipitation forecast fields Euro is a bit slower with the primary upper
trough which allows precipitation to linger Thursday afternoon. Mild
temperatures remain over the area ahead of the front into

Long term...(thursday night through monday)
issued at 235 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015

Mild conditions look to continue in the extended period with main
storm track well to the north across southern Canada...while
nearly zonal flow prevails across much of the nation. Temperatures
will average well above normal during this time with dry weather
through the period.


Aviation...(12z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.)
Issued at 627 am CDT Tuesday Oct 6 2015

VFR conditions and light and variable winds are expected through
the taf cycle. A few locations around the area are seeing briefly
reduced visibilities this morning...but have held any mention out
of the taf sites. Ceilings should range between 5-10kft through


Oax watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...fobert
long term...fobert

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