Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
1125 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 29 2014

Short term...(tonight through friday)
issued at 250 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 29 2014

A northwest flow pattern remains in place across the area at 19z
with considerable middle to high clouds across the region. Little
change to general forecast trends in the short term as upper
trough continues to hold over the eastern Continental U.S. With ridge in the
west. Near to slightly below normal temperatures will continue during
the period.

Looks like the area should also continue to see generally dry
weather during this time with deeper moisture pooled to the west
and south from the central rockies to the Southern Plains. High
pressure will continue to dominate from the northern plains into
the lower Missouri Valley. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
could brush western parts of the forecast area late Wednesday
night and early Thursday with decent 1000-700mb lapse rates in the
area and pockets of 850mb moisture but probability of precipitation will be on the low

Long term...(friday night through tuesday)
issued at 250 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 29 2014

Western ridge breaks down a bit and shifts east into the plains
region in the extended period over the weekend. Main impact will
be a trend toward warmer temperatures on Sunday and Monday. Better
chance for precipitation will be north of the area as another front moves
into the norther plains and also to the west where monsoonal
moisture remains in place.


Aviation...(06z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 29 2014

Still expect mainly VFR conditions to dominate through the period.
Some fog is possible toward sunrise...especially at koma. Winds
will be light.

Weak shortwave trough/vorticity maximum near the ND/South Dakota border was still
dropping southeastward with some middle level cloudiness. For does
not seem that there will be enough moisture to work with if that
moves into our area Wednesday...but will need to monitor.


Oax watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...fobert
long term...fobert

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations