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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
306 am CDT Tuesday Apr 28 2015

Short term...(today through thursday)
issued at 305 am CDT Tuesday Apr 28 2015

Latest msas this morning was showing a relatively weak thermal boundary
extending from north-central ND into the Nebraska Panhandle pushing to the southeast.
Hires hrrr puts the leading edge of the boundary moving into the northern
County Warning Area in a matter of hours the through the rest of the County Warning Area during the
morning hours. Given weak cold air advection decent mixing...should be able to
reach low 70s this afternoon...and for Wednesday met/mav are similar with
low 70s. On Thursday...with increasing 1000-500mb thickness building
in...prefer warmer mav values with middle/upper 70s. Late Thursday
night...small probability of precipitation in place over the northern County Warning Area when another weak surface
boundary moves in.

Long term...(thursday night through monday)
issued at 305 am CDT Tuesday Apr 28 2015

GFS/ecm showing possible precipitation through the majority of the extended periods.
Post-frontal precipitation activity gradually dissipates on Friday as surface
boundary pushes farther south. Low level moisture return/Stout 305k upglide
driving precipitation chances then Saturday/Saturday night. For Sunday/Sunday
night...increasing middle layer ageostrophic lift associated with next
cold front moving into Central Plains. Boundary moves south of the County Warning Area on
Monday. Otherwise...slightly above normal highs expected heading
into next weekend.

&&

Aviation...(06z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.)
Issued at 1134 PM CDT Monday Apr 27 2015

VFR conditions are expected through the taf cycle.



&&

Oax watches/warnings/advisories...
NE...none.
Iowa...none.
&&

$$

Short term...Dee
long term...Dee
aviation...Kern

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