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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1140 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

QUIET AND ABOVE NORMAL WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS
AN UPPER RIDGE NOW ACROSS THE ROCKIES MOVES ONTO THE PLAINS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A COUPLE OF DAYS OF VERY MILD TEMPS...WITH HIGHS IN
THE 70-80 ON SATURDAY AND 75 TO 83 ON SUNDAY. THERE IS A VERY
SUBTLE WAVE THAT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WHICH
WILL BRING A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER SUNDAY MORNING...AND EVEN THE
GFS AND ECMWF HINT AT SOME SPRINKLES IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AS
WELL. NOT CONFIDENT THAT WILL OCCUR THUS WILL GO DRY FOR NOW...
BUT WILL MONITOR IN LATER MODEL TRENDS.

THE TROUGH THAT IS STILL OFF THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE WEEKEND...THEN ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON MONDAY. THIS WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT INTO AREA...THAT
WILL RESULT IN A 20-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN MOSTLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

COOLER AIR ON TAP BEHIND THE FIRST COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S...BELOW NORMAL WITH NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW. WE DO GET A BRIEF RETURN FLOW ON WEDNESDAY AS A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA WITH A SMALL RECOVERY AND HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HOWEVER...ANOTHER VERY SUBTLE WAVE AND
COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COULD SEE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT...THEN TEMPS BACK TO THE UPPER
50S/LOWER 60S FOR THURSDAY. THEN A SLIGHTLY COOLER SURGE FOR
HALLOWEEN WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER/MID 50S BUT DRY.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME PATCHY FOG AROUND NOW...MAINLY IN SOUTHWEST
IOWA...IT MAY AFFECT KOMA INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MODELS
SHOW DRIER AIR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER MOVING IN LATER TONIGHT.

AFTER SUNRISE...LOOK FOR MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
FAIRLY LIGHT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOW CLOUDS AND OR FOG
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT KLNK AND KOFK.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...MILLER

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