Area forecast discussion National Weather Service San Francisco Bay area 1038 PM PDT Thursday may 23 2013 Discussion...as of 8:30 PM PDT Thursday...the upper level low continues to spin over the Pacific northwest. The trough axis passed through the area this morning and the low will start to lift northeast tonight and Friday. However another upper trough rotating around the back side of the low will move through inland on Saturday. Temperatures will warm up a few degrees Friday but another upper trough will move inland on Saturday preventing any additional warming. Cool temperatures are expected to continue into next week as another upper level low from the Gulf of Alaska sets up over the eastern Pacific and sends a series of shortwaves into the Pacific northwest. The first system will arrive on Monday. This system will dig a little further south and will bring a chance of rain from the sfo Bay area north and a slight chance of rain south of the sfo Bay area. A second system will move inland on Wednesday followed by another system next weekend. The long range GFS hints at a chance of rain next weekend while the European model (ecmwf) keep US dry after Monday. && Aviation...as of 10:38 PM PDT Thursday...clear skies persist across the region. Patchy low clouds are expected to reform along the coast late tonight/early Friday morning. Terminals will likely remain clear through tonight. Winds will continue to diminish overnight. Moderate and locally gusty winds are anticipated Friday afternoon. Moderate confidence. Vicinity of ksfo... winds will continue to ease overnight. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again Friday afternoon with the onset of the seabreeze. VFR conditions are anticipated through tonight with patchy low clouds expected to reform but remain at the coast. Moderate confidence. Ksfo bridge approach...moderate winds will ease overnight with VFR conditions expected to prevail. Monterey Bay area terminals...VFR conditions expected through tonight. Winds will continue to ease becoming light and variable overnight. Moderate confidence. && Mtr watches/warnings/advisories... ... Arena to pt Reyes 0-10 nm Small Craft Advisory...pt Reyes to Pigeon pt 0-10 nm Small Craft Advisory...Pigeon pt to pt pinos 0-10 nm Small Craft Advisory...pt pinos to pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm Small Craft Advisory...pt Arena to Pigeon pt 10-60 nm Small Craft Advisory...Pigeon pt to pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm && $$ Public forecast: west pi aviation/marine: CW Visit US at www.Weather.Gov/sanfrancisco Follow US on facebook, twitter, and youtube at: www.Facebook.Com/US.Nationalweatherservice.Sanfranciscobayarea.Gov www.Twitter.Com/nwsbayarea www.Youtube.Com/nwsbayarea