Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Missoula Montana 
320 am MDT Sat may 25 2013 


Discussion...today will start off rather nice with higher clouds 
early and warmer temperatures this afternoon. The next shortwave, 
in the southwesterly flow aloft, will arrive to north central 
Idaho and southwest Montana this afternoon. Showers with isolated 
thunderstorms will develop as the wave passes. The best chance for 
thunderstorm placement will be from near Salmon, Idaho and into 
west central Montana between Missoula and Butte. Showers will 
linger into the late evening but in most cases will dissipate 
after sunset. 


A general trough will maintain for the rest of the weekend and 
into next week. Cloud cover will increase from the west early 
Sunday as the next wave moves into Idaho. Rain will increase 
through the morning beginning in western Idaho followed by western 
Montana in afternoon. The trend of showers and isolated 
thunderstorms is also expected on both Monday and Tuesday with 
near normal temperatures. 


The rest of the week looks unstable with enough moisture in the 
air to fire off showers and afternoon thunderstorms each day. 
Wednesday looks to be the most unstable with the potential for 
some strong thunderstorms. 


&& 


Aviation...today looks to be a copy of Friday as the upper level 
trough remains over the region. The morning looks to be rather 
quite while after some day time heating, some showers and a 
thunderstorm will be developing. 


&& 


Mso watches/warnings/advisories... 
Montana...none. 
Idaho...none. 
&& 


$$ 


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