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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Morristown Tennessee
925 am EDT Wednesday Jul 23 2014

Discussion...convection getting an early start today mainly in the
Lakeway area...with this activity moving slowly southeast into Cocke...
Blount and Sevier counties. Storm Prediction Center mesoscale Page shows this area of low
level convergence and another larger area across western NC. 12z ohx/rnk
soundings show plenty of moisture and instability...ahead of the
slow moving cold front and upper level trough.

Forecast probability of precipitation a little low this morning...but the increasing probability of precipitation
for the afternoon into tonight look on track per latest short range
models. Will monitor radar trends over the next hour or so...to see
if low end of likely probability of precipitation may be justified in some areas for this
afternoon.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Chattanooga Airport, Tennessee 89 70 86 67 / 50 50 50 10
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, Tennessee 88 69 84 65 / 50 60 60 10
Oak Ridge, Tennessee 89 69 83 64 / 50 70 50 10
Tri Cities Airport, Tennessee 89 67 81 60 / 50 70 60 10

&&

Mrx watches/warnings/advisories...
NC...none.
Tennessee...none.
Virginia...none.
&&

$$

Tg

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