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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Morristown Tennessee
316 PM EST Friday Mar 6 2015

Short term...(tonight and tomorrow)...a very quiet short term
in store. Overnight temperatures will once again be below normal for this
time of year with values near 15 degrees below normal. The colder
than average lows will be accompanied by clear skies and light
winds.

Tomorrow...mostly sunny skies expected. Heights slowly continue to
build into our area from the south...resulting in closer to normal
maximum temperatures. Maximum temperatures only 4 to 5 degrees below normal for tomorrow.
A weak shortwave passes well to our north through the day...which
may bring slightly breezy conditions across the northern sections of
our County Warning Area...generally 10 miles per hour or less. Overall...a pleasant short term.

Long term...(saturday night through friday)...generally zonal
flow with surface ridging in place through most of the weekend will
help temperatures rebound to near normal. First chance for rain to enter
the area will be on Sunday night with Gulf moisture being drawn up
ahead of approaching low. Best chance for most though will have to
wait until Monday night/Tuesday morning when the main bulk of the
moisture/lift moves across the area. Most of the rain will have
exited the area by Wednesday afternoon, with a chance for some
lingering showers along the smokies and far southwest North
Carolina. The area then dries out for a bit before the next
approaching low pressure system moves towards the area at the tail
end of the forecast. Models start to really diverge at this
point...but they do agree that some sort of slow moving low will
make it's way towards the area bringing in precipitation sometime on
Thursday. The end of the 7 day forecast could be the start of a wet
3-5 day period.



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Chattanooga Airport, Tennessee 25 56 32 62 / 0 0 0 10
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, Tennessee 23 53 33 57 / 0 0 0 10
Oak Ridge, Tennessee 22 53 32 57 / 0 0 0 10
Tri Cities Airport, Tennessee 18 51 29 55 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Mrx watches/warnings/advisories...
NC...none.
Tennessee...none.
Virginia...none.
&&

$$

Sunrise/abm

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