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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen Minnesota
609 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 22 2014

Update...
issued at 606 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 22 2014

Updated to include 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

Short term...(this evening through thursday)
issued at 322 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 22 2014

Short term concerns for the short term are temperatures and cloud
cover.

Current surface analysis indicates mainly mostly sunny skies
except for some clouds north of stc and in west central
Wisconsin. An area of high pressure will continue to build into
the forecast area tonight and will dominate the weather through
Thursday. Dewpoints have been dropping all day from their highs in
the upper 60s to lower 70s this morning to the middle to upper 50s
north of mpx to the lower to middle 60s south of the Twin Cities.
The dewpoints will continue to drop tonight as the ridge take
over. Temperatures will be back to normal levels as cooler air
flows into the region.

Long term...(thursday night through tuesday)
issued at 322 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 22 2014

Concerns for the long term is precipitation chances the beginning
of next week.

Models indicate an unsettled period through the time period. An
upper level low will come into the West Coast on Thursday and
slide along the Canadian border through Saturday when it slides
into the United States in northern ND...moves across Minnesota Saturday and
into the Great Lakes by Sunday. A series of shortwaves will move
through the flow beginning Thursday night and continuing through
the weekend. Will have chance probability of precipitation for thunderstorms beginning
Thursday night and continuing into Saturday. There will be a
break Saturday night before another possibility for precipitation
for Sunday when the upper trough moves through the region. An area
of high pressure will build into the region on Monday giving the
area some dry days.

&&

Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Wednesday evening)
issued at 606 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 22 2014

VFR conds expeceted at all sites with no impacts. North winds less than 10
knots expeceted throughout the duration of the 00z tafs. Scattered midlvl
cumulus...mainly east of kmsp...will dissipate this evening...resulting in
sky clear conds overnight. Scattered midlvl cumulus clouds return by midday tmrw.

Kmsp...no significant impacts expeceted throughout this taf set
duration.

/Outlook for kmsp/
Thursday...VFR. Winds southeast at 10kts.
Thursday night...VFR. MVFR conditions/thunderstorms and rain possible. Winds southeast 10 knots.
Friday...VFR. MVFR conditions thunderstorms and rain. Winds south-southeast at 10-15kts.
Friday night...VFR. MVFR conditions in scattered thunderstorms and rain. Winds S/southeast at 5-8kts.
Sat...VFR. Winds west/northwest at 10-15kts.

&&

Mpx watches/warnings/advisories...
Minnesota...none.
WI...none.
&&

$$

Update...jpc
short term...Stewart
long term...Stewart
aviation...jpc

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