Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
604 PM CDT Wednesday Jun 19 2013
Update...have updated based on latest radar trends and rap hrrr
guidance to have good chance probability of precipitation across the central portion of the
forecast area this evening...then slight chance probability of precipitation late this
evening. Kept chance probability of precipitation near the coast and slight chance probability of precipitation for
most of the remaining area after midnight for better coverage
expected to develop near the coast late tonight. No other major
changes. /29
&&
Aviation (00z issuance)...will continue with vcsh and VFR conditions
through the overnight hours. While the latest guidance indicates that
the potential for a MVFR ceiling developing overnight at mob/bfm has
significantly decreased...an extrapolation of the weakening
convection inland would bring lower clouds into this area later
tonight. Considering this...will continue with a tempo group from
08-12z for a ceiling near 1.5 kft for these two sites and reassess
later this evening. VFR conditions are expected otherwise for the
remainder of the period. /29
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Mobile 70 91 72 90 72 / 20 30 20 40 30
Pensacola 73 91 74 90 75 / 30 40 30 40 30
Destin 75 88 75 88 76 / 30 50 30 40 30
Evergreen 66 93 69 91 69 / 50 40 20 40 20
Waynesboro 65 93 70 92 68 / 40 30 20 30 20
Camden 66 93 69 91 69 / 20 30 20 30 20
Crestview 65 93 69 92 70 / 50 50 30 40 30
&&
Mob watches/warnings/advisories...
Alabama...none.
Florida...none.
MS...none.
GM...none.
&&
$$
