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Area forecast discussion...update to aviation 
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2015

Aviation... 06z issuance...with the rain over...MVFR level visbys
have set in over some localities. These are expected to continue
until around sunrise. Guidance is consistently advertising a
shortwave moving from over western portions of the lower miss River
Valley over the forecast area...bringing another round of rain. Current radar
shows this rain over the lower miss River Valley at this time. Rain is
expected to continue through most of the morning hours...then exit
east of the forecast area. VFR ceilings.Visbys expected the rest of the forecast.

/16

&&

Short term...made a few adjustments to the current pop forecast for
the rest of the tonight...bringing the higher rain chances in
to western and northern sections of the County warning forecast area by after 09z. Generally
a raw blend of the latest GFS and European model (ecmwf) along the the highest res
hrrr NSSL WRF also reflect the higher precipitation to begin moving into
the western and northern sections by after 09z continuing through
much of Sun morning. 32/ee

&&

Marine...made a few adjustments to the current wind forecast mostly
to account for the wind shift in the wake of the this evenings
convection. Winds will redevelop mostly from the south southwest late
tonight and on sun with higher gusts in the afternoon due to
afternoon heating. Also showers and thunderstorms will increase in
coverage late tonight and early Sunday morning moving generally in a
easterly direction through Sunday afternoon. Strong gusty winds...
frequent cloud to ground lightning along with locally higher seas can
be expected with the stronger thunderstorms early Sunday. 32/ee

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Mobile 90 72 87 72 88 / 30 70 70 30 30
Pensacola 88 75 87 74 86 / 30 60 60 30 40
Destin 89 77 86 76 84 / 30 60 60 30 40
Evergreen 92 71 86 70 88 / 50 70 70 40 40
Waynesboro 88 71 87 70 89 / 60 70 60 40 40
Camden 91 71 85 70 87 / 60 80 70 40 40
Crestview 89 73 87 71 89 / 30 60 60 40 40

&&

Mob watches/warnings/advisories...
Alabama...none.
Florida...none.
MS...none.
GM...none.
&&

$$

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