Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
1247 PM CST sun Mar 1 2015

Update...visible satellite imagery and area observations Show Low
ceilings holding in place across much of the County warning forecast area early this
afternoon. Patchy fog also continues to impact portions of the
region...most notably coastal portions of the forecast area as well
as the inland northwest Florida Panhandle and southwest/south central Alabama.
The area remains socked in courtesy of continuous low level isentropic
lift...and we expect low clouds will hold strong through the afternoon
along with patchy fog. We have increased cloud cover...added patchy
fog mention and also lowered high temperatures this afternoon. In
addition...a shortwave trough approaching from the vicinity of MS/la
will bring an increasing chance of rain to western portions of the
forecast area this afternoon. /21

&&

Aviation...
01.18z terminal forecast discussion...
IFR to LIFR ceilings and MVFR to IFR visibility reductions due to fog
will continue to impact the region through Monday morning. Fog could
be locally reduced to LIFR levels tonight and early Monday morning.
Rain chances will increase primarily across southeast MS and
southwest Alabama tonight...with better chances spreading across the
remainder of the area into Monday. /21

&&

Marine update...recent mariner reports indicate that fog is reduced
to as low as a few hundred feet over Mobile Bay as of noon...and area
marine cams indicate dense fog still holding close to bays...sounds
and the immediate coast. Fog is expected to hold strong at least into
early to middle afternoon...with the pattern strongly favorable for
continued fog tonight into at least Monday morning. We have opted to
extend the dense marine fog advisory for bays and sounds until 9 am
CST Monday. /21

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Mobile 61 53 71 58 73 / 30 30 40 20 20
Pensacola 61 53 71 59 72 / 20 20 30 20 10
Destin 63 53 70 59 70 / 20 10 20 20 10
Evergreen 59 50 71 58 77 / 20 20 40 20 20
Waynesboro 63 52 65 57 75 / 30 30 50 30 20
Camden 61 51 67 57 77 / 20 30 50 20 20
Crestview 62 51 73 58 76 / 20 10 30 20 10

&&

Mob watches/warnings/advisories...
Alabama...none.
Florida...none.
MS...none.
GM...dense fog advisory until 9 am Monday for the following zones:
Choctawhatchee Bay...Mississippi Sound...northern Mobile
Bay...Pensacola Bay system...Perdido Bay...southern Mobile
Bay...

&&

$$

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations