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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
442 am CDT sun may 3 2015

Short term (today and tonight)...another pleasant day under
predominantly blue skies. Relative humidities will remain relatively
low during the afternoon as temperatures climb into the upper 70s and
middle 80s. Could see some patchy fog across our more southern counties
in MS...Alabama & Florida tomorrow morning under fair skies as subsidence
increases under an amplifying ridge aloft...efficient radiative
cooling...and a light southerly flow above the boundary layer fluxes
additional moisture into the relatively shallow layer of cool air
near the surface. Overnight lows should be a little warmer then
they've been the past couple of days...generally bottoming out in the
middle 50s to low to middle 60s near the coast. 08/jw

(monday and tuesday)...still little to no real change in the weather
pattern through Tuesday. Surface high pressure centered over the Atlantic
Ocean off the middle Atlantic Seaboard will continue to ridge west
across the eastern portion of the country. This will continue to
result in a east to southeast lolvl wind flow across the area. This
will continue to allow for a slightly more moist airmass into the
early part of the week. Ridging aloft continues to suppress clouds
and any chances for precipitation...although will allow for continued chances
for patchy overnight fog over southern half of forecast area (as
mentioned above in short term discussion). Highs both Monday and
Tuesday in the low to middle 80s (possibly a few upper 70s along the
immediate coast). Lows Monday night ranging from the middle and upper 50s
inland to the low to middle 60s coastal. 12/ds


Long term (wednesday through saturday)...models still consistently
continue to show no real changes to the weather pattern for the
local area through the long term period. Surface high pressure continues
to ridge into the region...but becoming more northeast to southwest
oriented as an area of low pressure likely develops off the East
Coast of Florida and Georgia. Middle/upper ridging continues as
well...and even though a better established southeasterly surface flow
will continue to result in a slow and gradual airmass modification...
the persistent middle/upper ridging will continue to suppress any any
chances for precipitation. Highs temperatures remain rather consistent
Wednesday through Saturday...mainly in the lower 80s (except upper
70s at the beaches). Overnight lows generally in the low to middle 60s
each night. 12/ds


Marine...a broad area of high pressure will extend from the eastern
Seaboard over the Atlantic Ocean through middle week. This pattern will
create a persistent east to southeasterly wind flow. Winds will begin
strengthening late Sunday night and create small craft cautionary
conditions Monday and possibly advisory level conditions on Tuesday.


Aviation...03.12z issuance...VFR conditions will continue to
prevail through the afternoon and evening. Areas of patchy fog may
develop after midnight and occasionally reduce visibilities to MVFR. 08/jw


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Mobile 80 60 82 61 83 / 05 00 05 05 05
Pensacola 77 65 82 65 80 / 05 00 10 05 05
Destin 76 67 78 66 78 / 05 00 05 05 05
Evergreen 82 55 83 58 83 / 05 05 05 05 05
Waynesboro 83 55 84 57 83 / 05 00 05 05 05
Camden 83 55 83 58 83 / 05 05 05 05 05
Crestview 85 54 85 58 85 / 05 00 05 05 05


Mob watches/warnings/advisories...


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