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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
1155 PM CDT Monday Jul 21 2014

Aviation update...scattered convection mostly in the eastern region
of our area...associated with an upper low...should begin to diminish
overnight before re-initiating around middle to late morning. Hence we
brought in a prob30 to all terminals after 22.1500z. Wind light from
the south to southeast.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 924 PM CDT Monday Jul 21 2014/

Mesoscale update...a closed low at 500 mb is rotating convective
cells around a center located over south central Alabama in the
vicinity of Monroe County. However...despite the loss of sunlight the
convection has not shown signs of complete disappearance...but has
weakened considerably. We have therefore cut back probability of precipitation geographically
commensurate with what is being observed on radar. /77

Marine update...convection drifting toward the Gulf will likely
intensify and we have decided to prepare the coastal waters update
forecast for that Prospect. /77

Coastal regions and beach update...and addenda to previous
discussion of 722 PM...reports of numerous rip currents observed
along Gulf beaches has necessitated an extension of our assessment of
a high rip current risk. This assessment is extended until 7 am
Tuesday. Moderate risk is expected thereafter. /77

Previous discussion... /issued 722 PM CDT Monday Jul 21 2014/

Update...updated for extension of the high risk of rip currents
through tonight. No other major changes. /29

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Mobile 71 89 71 91 73 / 20 30 20 30 20
Pensacola 74 88 75 89 76 / 30 30 20 30 20
Destin 76 87 77 86 77 / 40 30 20 30 20
Evergreen 69 90 69 92 71 / 30 40 20 30 20
Waynesboro 68 89 68 92 71 / 10 40 20 30 20
Camden 69 89 70 92 71 / 20 40 20 30 20
Crestview 69 91 68 92 73 / 40 40 20 30 20

&&

Mob watches/warnings/advisories...
Alabama...high rip current risk until 7 am Tuesday for the following
zones: lower Baldwin...lower Mobile...

Florida...high rip current risk until 7 am Tuesday for the following
zones: coastal Escambia...coastal Okaloosa...coastal Santa
Rosa...

MS...none.
GM...none.
&&

$$

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