Scientific Forecaster Discussion
East central Florida forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
912 am EST Friday Nov 28 2014
..hazardous boating conditions into tonight...
Advection of colder air southward into the area remains ongoing past
sunrise and interestingly was not timed to coincide wholly with the
night time period. With the low sun angle temperatures will struggle to
rise to forecast highs this afternoon. Recent edits have lowered
temperatures while remaining in the 50s north of i4 and lower to middle 60s
over the remainder of the area. A little veering to surface to bl winds
is forecast by RUC with a north-northeast component toward late afternoon. Marine
based cloudiness looks to be an open cell SC nearshore and some scattered
SC will affect the coastal counties and beaches from along with wind
gusts near 20 miles per hour.
Aviation...VFR through tonight. A small chance ceilings at or above
fl035 exists at coastal sites...generally along the immediate CST from
kvrb-ksua this afternoon/evening.
latest buoy/coastal observation indicate gusty north winds 20-25 knots in the
open Atlantic. Additionally...countering winds will create chop
in/near the gulfstream. Speeds may ease a little by afternoon
especially along the north coast...but it will still not be good for
small craft operation. High pressure ridge will build to the
Georgia/Carolina coast tonight and gradually ease winds more...but
advisory conditions should continue in the Gulf Stream at least
through the late evening hours.
Am...Small Craft Advisory until 10 am EST this morning for coastal
waters from Flagler Beach to Volusia Brevard County line
out 20 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for coastal
waters from Volusia Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet
out 20 nm.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 am EST Saturday for coastal waters
from Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet out 20 nm-waters from
Flagler Beach to Volusia Brevard County line 20 to 60 nm
offshore-waters from Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 to
60 nm offshore-waters from Volusia Brevard County line to
Sebastian Inlet 20 to 60 nm offshore.