Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
932 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2015
Weather has been quiet so far this evening in ec Florida...although warm and
humid for late April with dew point readings more like summertime
values in low/middle 70s at some of the reporting sites.
Main feature of interest this evening is cluster of thunderstorms moving
rapidly east across the NE Gulf of Mexico. If this area can maintain
itself...may affect northern sections of ec Florida...especially across Northern Lake
and Volusia counties in the next few hours. Will keep a low pop in
from around metropolitan Orlando north and thunder mention in for Northern
Lake/Volusia...strong wind gusts and lightning will be the main
threat from these storms. Threat ending over the land areas by
around 05-06z due to rapid movement of the convection.
Aviation...will monitor klee-kdab for need to add tempo for thunderstorms and rain
and higher gusts in next few hours. Otherwise...mainly VFR
tonight but may have some tempo IFR ceilings with low stratus
overnight...especially after 09z.
Marine...W-SW winds increasing overnight with Small Craft Advisory levels being
reached northern two offshore legs in next few hours. Made an
adjustment to Small Craft Advisory headline to indicate advisory is for winds...
since seas not expected to reach Small Craft Advisory values. If storms presently
over Gulf hold together...could have some strong gusts over
the northern waters by around midnight.
Am...Small Craft Advisory for winds until 11 am EDT Sunday for
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County line 20-60 nm-
Volusia-Brevard County line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.