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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
819 PM EST Wednesday Mar 4 2015

Discussion...

Tonight...although rather warm this afternoon...record temperatures
remained unbroken within east central Florida. Warm conditions
courtesy of southeast-S-SW flow around west periphery of elongated surface
high pressure teamed with a good measure of solar insolation. Southeast
winds along the Treasure Coast have been gusty at times through
sunset...but will relax as vertical mixing dampens during the
evening. In fact...near-sfc flow will eventually become more
uniformly from the south but reduce to 5kt or less during the
pre- dawn. Relative humidity 96 percent or more for several hours mainly over
inland sections enough to mention patches/areas of fog most places
except coastal sections from Sebastian to Jupiter. Low temperatures in
the middle to upper 60s.

Tomorrow...pre-frontal S-SW flow more prevalent ahead of a cold
front impinging from northwest. Day-time temperatures again above normal into the
middle-upper 80s. Approaching system will offer more cloudiness but
mention for any precipitation chances will wait another period until
sufficient concentrated moisture arrives. Surface boundary will move
southward through central Florida Thursday night.

&&

Aviation...

Patchy br after 06z with 2-3sm br between 09-12z sites
mco/ism northward as winds become vrb03kt. Ceilings bkn010-020 with
associated low stratus. Along the coast mlb southward VFR-MVFR
overnight. Winds becoming 180-210 after 13z with sct045 occasional bkn045
skies.

&&

Marine...

Tonight/Thursday...S-SW winds continue generally 10-15 knots.
Seas 3 to 4 feet nearshore and 3 to 5 feet offshore ahead of
approaching cold front arriving Thursday night.

&&

Climate...record highs for March 5th:

Dab 5-Mar 87 1985
mco 5-Mar 90 1929
mlb 5-Mar 88 1982
vrb 5-Mar 89 2003

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
dab 63 85 64 69 / 0 10 20 30
mco 64 86 66 79 / 0 10 10 30
mlb 65 85 67 77 / 0 10 10 30
vrb 64 84 66 80 / 0 10 10 30
Lee 63 85 65 73 / 0 10 10 30
sfb 64 86 65 73 / 0 10 20 30
orl 64 86 67 76 / 0 10 10 30
fpr 65 85 64 81 / 0 10 10 30

&&

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Am...none.
&&

$$

Short term...ds
long term....ts
aviation...99

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