Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Miami Florida
930 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014
a secondary cold front was located over north central Florida this
morning. This front will continue to move southward down the
sunshine state and through South Florida this afternoon reinforcing
the dry and cooler weather over South Florida. This front will
also be a dry front with no chances of rain or clouds.
Therefore...the forecast for South Florida looks good at this time
and no changes are planned.
Previous discussion... /issued 731 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014/
VFR conditions will prevail through the taf period. A secondary
frontal boundary will move through the region this afternoon into
the early evening. So north to northwesterly winds at 10-15 knots
today will remain elevated through the end of the taf period.
Previous discussion... /issued 503 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014/
have updated the small craft advisories based on the current wind
and wave forecasts.
Previous discussion... /issued 355 am EST Thursday Nov 27 2014/
the big story for South Florida for today, weather wise, will be
the cooler air that is moving in. Temperatures will try to reach
into the low 70s before a secondary cold front moves through
sometime this afternoon. This front will bring a reinforcing shot
of cold air into the region for tonight. Lows across South Florida
will range from low to middle 50s along the coasts, down to around
40fin the northern interior.
Tomorrow, high pressure will begin to build in, keeping the cooler
air in place. Highs tomorrow will struggle to reach even 70f. By
tomorrow night, the high will slide to the north of the area,
slowly turning the wind more to the east on Saturday. This will
allow some warmer air to move back into the region, with highs
back into the low to middle 70s across South Florida.
The high remains off the Atlantic coast until the beginning of the
week, then weakens. However, another area of high pressure will
begin to build over the southeast US by the middle of the week.
This will keep the flow out of the east next week. While the
Mainland looks to be mainly dry, the Atlantic coastal waters could
see some showers developing as early as Monday morning. Some of
these showers, if they develop, could make on shore in the
Otherwise, a fairly quiet weather pattern into next week, with
mainly marine conditions being the concern for the forecast
VFR conditions will prevail through the taf period. Scattered/broken high
clouds continue across the region behind the cold front due an
upper level shortwave moving across the region. Clouds will clear
out by morning with mainly clear skies. A secondary frontal
boundary will move through the region this afternoon into the
early evening. So north to northwesterly winds at 5-10 knots
overnight will increase to 10-15 knots during the day and remain
elevated through the end of the taf period behind the secondary
with strong gusty winds over the coastal waters, marine conditions
will continue to be hazardous. A secondary front will keep winds
gusty through the day today. While there may be a lull in
conditions at times today, the northerly winds across the Gulf
Stream may continue to build seas high enough to be a hazard to
small craft. Also, the winds are expected to pick up once again
this afternoon across the Gulf waters. A Small Craft Advisory is
in place for portions of the Atlantic waters through the day. The
advisory of the Gulf waters and the Atlantic waters off the Palm
Beach coast is set to expire later this morning. Another Small
Craft Advisory may be needed again for tonight for all waters.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 72 52 68 60 / 0 0 10 10
Fort Lauderdale 73 55 70 62 / 0 0 10 10
Miami 73 54 70 61 / 0 0 0 10
Naples 70 47 65 52 / 0 0 0 0
Am...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for amz651-671.