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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
149 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
TEMPO TSRA GROUPS WERE ADDED BASED UPON CCFP FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME DISAGREEMENT CONTINUES AMONG GUIDANCE WITH REGARDS TO
DURATION OF SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS HAS IMPLICATIONS ON
WHERE AND IF STORMS DEVELOP. HI RES LOCAL MODELS STILL IN FAVOR
OF A FEW HOURS OF SEA BREEZE TODAY WHEREAS LAMP GUIDANCE HAS BEEN
TRENDING AGAINST IT. STORMS MAY STILL BE ABLE TO FIRE EVEN
WITHOUT A SEABREEZE, ALTHOUGH MORE NUMEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED
WITH THE SURFACE CONVERGENCE THAT THE SEA BREEZE WILL PROVIDE. A
FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH TEMPO IFR CONDS POSSIBLE. SLT CHC
OF SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS AT APF LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW.
CONVECTION SHOULD BE MORE ROBUST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A FEW
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES ASSISTING DEVELOPMENT. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  74  86  71  85 /  40  70  60  70 
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  90  74  89 /  30  60  50  70 
MIAMI            76  91  76  89 /  30  50  50  60 
NAPLES           76  88  75  80 /  20  50  50  80 

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10/CD
LONG TERM....10/CD
AVIATION...21/KM

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