Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1232 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS AT THE MAJORITY OF THE
TAF SITES. EXCEPTIONS MAY BE KAPF AND KTMB, WHERE FOG COULD BRING
IMPAIR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT. HAVE JUST A MENTION
OF FOG FOR NOW, WITH 3SM AS THE PREVAILING VISBY. HOWEVER, IFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING ANY OF THE
OTHER SITES TO SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM ANY FOG THAT IS ABLE TO FORM.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 209 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014/ 

.DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR INTERIOR/WEST COAST UNTIL 8 AM EST...
.HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BEACHES OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...

SHORT TERM...
THE SHERIFF OFFICES AND HIGHWAY PATROL HAVE REPORTED THAT PATCHY
DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO
AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND BECOME MORE SCATTERED IN COVERAGE OVER THESE AREAS
THROUGH REST OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THEREFORE...A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO
AREAS THROUGH 8 AM EST THIS MORNING.

ONCE THE DENSE FOG HAS BURN OFF EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE
INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO AREAS...THE SKIES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND REMAIN DRY DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE
OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO
THE CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY..AS A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH FLORIDA.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE WIND FLOW OVER THE AREA TO BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY BUT REMAIN DRY.

THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA LATE TUESDAY BEFORE
WASHING OUT OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE
SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION. THE
WINDS WILL THEN BECOME MORE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

LONG TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK NORTHWARD FROM THE CARIBBEAN
SEAS FOR LATE THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE
WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TO SWING FROM A NORTHEAST LATE THIS
WEEK TO AN EASTERLY DIRECTION BY NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS LATE THIS
WEEK...BEFORE GOING DRY OVER ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR NEXT
WEEKEND.

MARINE...
THE WINDS WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST TODAY BEFORE SWINGING MORE
SOUTHERLY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...THEN BACK TO A NORTHEAST
DIRECTION FOR MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. THE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 10
KNOTS OR LESS TODAY THROUGH MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
THE SEAS AT 3 FEET OR LESS IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A NORTHEAST SWELL OF 2 TO 3 FEET AFFECTING THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF PALM BEACH COUNTY
TODAY WITH A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
BEACHES OF MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  68  82  67  81 /  10  10  10  10 
FORT LAUDERDALE  71  81  70  80 /  10  10  10  10 
MIAMI            70  82  69  81 /  10  10  10  10 
NAPLES           66  80  65  80 /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168.

AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM....54/BNB 
AVIATION...13/SI

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations