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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Miami Florida
935 am EDT Sat may 30 2015


The combination of the subtropical upper level ridge located over
the western Atlantic and the surface ridge over the western
Atlantic centered around 40 degrees latitude continues to generate
easterly winds over South Florida. A moderate risk of rip currents
continues for the Atlantic beaches. The 12z sounding from this
morning indicates that the low levels of the atmosphere are
moistening up with the precipitable water increasing to 1.47 in. At the same time
than the low levels are moistening up the middle level temperatures
have decreased a bit since yesterday, with the subsidence
signature less evident than yesterday. No well-defined areas of
convergence or divergence are present. With the current increase
in moisture and the continuation of moisture increase as the day
progresses, the possibility of small hail and isolated gusty winds
up to 45 miles per hour was introduced in the severe weather potential statement after analysis of the 12z
sounding. A few showers are present over the Atlantic waters this
morning and are expected to continue until early afternoon. As the
West Coast sea breeze develops in the afternoon the focus for
showers and thunderstorms will be for the interior and portions of
the West Coast.


Previous discussion... /issued 741 am EDT Sat may 30 2015/


Easterly flow should continue over the next 24 hours across all
East Coast taf sites with prevailing VFR conditions. Isolated
showers embedded in the easterly flow will continue to be possible
across the East Coast sites through the day. Afternoon convection
is expected to remain confined across the interior and Gulf
coastal areas with a Gulf Breeze expected to affect kapf. As
always...brief MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible within any
passing shower or thunderstorm.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 87 74 87 75 / 20 20 20 10
Fort Lauderdale 87 76 87 76 / 20 20 30 10
Miami 88 75 87 75 / 20 10 30 10
Naples 89 72 88 73 / 40 20 30 20


Mfl watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...71/je
long term....71/je

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