Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Miami Florida
733 am EDT Sat Mar 28 2015
Continental high pressure building in behind last night's cold
front will ensure a dry and VFR day across South Florida. Only
cloud cover of note will be in the form of broken high cirrus
clouds around 20,000 feet. Northwest surface winds will gust above 20 kts
mainly this morning before diminishing in the afternoon. A north-NE
surface wind at Naples/kapf this morning will turn to the northwest this
Previous discussion... /issued 404 am EDT Sat Mar 28 2015/
Short term (today-monday)...
a strong middle/upper level trough continues to shift east this morning
allowing a cold front to move across South Florida which will clear
the southeast coast prior to sunrise. Extensive middle to high level
clouds will prevail early and then these too will clear the lake
region after sunrise and the southeast coast by early this
afternoon. Cold air advection will continue though Sunday along with
a surface high pressure ridge moving to North Florida by late
Sunday. Afternoon temperatures today will only reach the 70s and
dropping into the upper 40s to 50s tonight except around 60 along
the southeast coast of Miami-Dade County. Afternoon temperatures on
Sunday will also remain in the 70s. A mostly zonal flow will return
to the Florida Peninsula on Monday with the surface high pressure
moving to central Florida with a slow modification in the cool
Long term (tuesday-friday)...
a weak southern stream trough will move across the southeast states
late this week with an increased chance for showers returning to
South Florida. The surface ridge will shift east into the Atlantic
by middle week continuing into next weekend for a gradual warming trend
with temperatures slowly climbing back to above normal readings for
rough marine conditions will continue today with a north wind
behind a cold front and seas of 5 T 7 feet in the Gulf waters and
6-9 feet in the Atlantic. Wind and seas will begin to diminish
tonight into early next week as the gradient slackens and the wind
shifts to the east and diminishes. An east wind will then continue
for the remainder of the week as high pressure shifts east into
the Atlantic and weakens.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 73 55 75 59 / 0 0 0 10
Fort Lauderdale 75 59 76 63 / 0 0 0 10
Miami 77 60 78 63 / 10 0 0 10
Naples 74 54 76 53 / 0 0 0 0
Florida...high rip current risk through this evening for flz069.
Am...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for amz650-651-
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for amz610.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for gmz656-