Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Miami Florida
145 am EST Sat Dec 27 2014
..dry weather over South Florida this weekend before a slight
chance of showers early to middle of next week...
patchy to areas of dense fog has developed over most of South
Florida early this morning which should continue through the early
daylight hours. The only exception to this is for the east
coastal areas of South Florida where the fog should be more
isolated in coverage and remain above 1/4 of a mile in visible.
Therefore...a dense fog advisory will continue until 8 am EST this
morning for most of South Florida...except for the east coastal
areas of South Florida.
A frontal boundary over Lake Okeechobee region early this morning
will continue to dissipate allowing for high pressure over the
western Atlantic waters to build across the central Florida
Peninsula this weekend. This will allow for an east to southeast
wind flow over South Florida bringing in drier air from the
Atlantic waters. Therefore...the weather will be dry this weekend
over South Florida with temperatures well above normal for this
time of year. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the 60s except
around 70 East Coast metropolitan areas.
the high will then shift back east into the western Atlantic
waters early next week...as a trough of low pressure over The Four
Corners moves northeast into the southern Gulf Coast states. This
in turn will allow for low pressure to develop over Texas and
move northeast into the southeastern United States pushing a cold
front southward into central Florida. This will allow for the wind
flow to become more southerly over South Florida and allow for a
few showers over northern areas by Tuesday.
The low will continue to move northeast into the Middle Atlantic
States by middle of next week...as the front moves into South
Florida and dissipates. So the slight chance of showers will
continue over South Florida for middle of next week with the best
chance over the East Coast metropolitan areas. High pressure will then
build back into South Florida for late next week bringing back the
dry weather to the area.
the winds will be easterly this weekend before swinging more
southerly early next week ahead of a weak cold front. Wind speeds
will be mainly 10 knots or less this weekend into early next week
over all of South Florida waters. This will keep the seas at 2
feet or less in both the Atlantic and Gulf waters of South Florida
this weekend into early next week.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 81 67 82 70 / 10 10 10 10
Fort Lauderdale 81 69 82 72 / 10 10 10 10
Miami 82 69 83 71 / 10 0 10 10
Naples 82 65 82 66 / 10 0 10 10
Florida...dense fog advisory until 8 am EST this morning for flz063-
Am...dense fog advisory until 8 am EST this morning for amz610.