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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Miami Florida
325 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

latest visible satellite imagery shows scattered to broken cumulus
field across much of South Florida with pronounced sea breezes
seen across both the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. This has led to
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across mainly the
interior. Convective coverage should increase over the next couple
of hours but should remain confined mainly across the interior
due to weak steering flow. Cannot rule out isolated thunderstorms
affecting either coast into the early evening hours due to outflow
boundary interactions as coastal breezes weaken. The main threats
from these storms will be frequent lightning strikes and gusty

This interior/west convective regime is expected to continue each
afternoon through the end of the week. Strong ridging across the
western Atlantic will slowly edge to the west and across the
Florida Peninsula during this time frame. This is expected to lead
to continued weak steering flow and afternoon showers and
thunderstorms favoring the interior.

Long range models do show a gradual weakening of the ridge for the
weekend and into early next week as lower 500 mb heights across the
southeastern Continental U.S. Make their way to the south and into the
Florida Peninsula. This will keep a rather moist and stormy regime
for South Florida into next week.


VFR will prevail. Thunderstorms will focus across the interior this
afternoon and again on Wednesday afternoon. East-southeast winds near 10 knots will
prevail East Coast becoming SW at kapf. Winds will be light
overnight with similar winds on Wednesday. /Gregoria


winds should remain out of the east to southeast across the
Atlantic waters at 10 miles per hour or less through the end of the week with
seas of 1-2 feet. Winds are expected to become more variable over
the weekend with increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms
over the area waters.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
West Palm Beach 78 92 78 92 / 10 20 20 30
Fort Lauderdale 80 91 79 92 / 10 30 20 20
Miami 80 92 78 92 / 10 40 20 20
Naples 77 91 77 90 / 10 40 40 40


Mfl watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...10/cd
long term....10/cd

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