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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
214 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2014

...A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...
...SUMMERTIME WEATHER CONTINUES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA INTO NEXT WEEK...

.SHORT TERM...
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION...AS THE SAHARAN DUST OVER THE BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO
MOVE WEST INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. AT THE SAME TIME...THE EAST COAST
SEA BREEZE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH WESTWARD INTO THE INTERIOR AREAS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA. SO WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL
POPS OVER THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH CHANCE CATEGORICAL OVER THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.

THE SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY REDUCING THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO AREAS WILL STILL SEE
CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY DUE TO THE SEA BREEZE COLLISION.

A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD EVEN BECOME STRONG ON FRIDAY...DUE TO
THE DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THAT IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SAHARAN DUST. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM THE
STRONG STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS, LIGHTNING STRIKES, AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE SAHARAN DUST WILL THEN MOVE WEST AND AWAY FROM SOUTH FLORIDA
FRIDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR A LOW LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE WEST AND INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING IN DEEPER MOISTURE TO
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM...
THE LOW LEVEL THROUGH WILL THEN MOVE WEST INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THE SURFACE HIGH REMAINS OVER CENTRAL
FLORIDA. THIS WILL KEEP A EASTERLY WIND FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR THE HIGHEST POPS TO BE OVER THE
INTERIOR AND WEST COAST METRO AREAS. HOWEVER...ALL OF SOUTH
FLORIDA WILL STILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EASTERLY DIRECTION TONIGHT THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND WITH WIND SPEEDS BELOW 15 KNOTS. THIS WILL KEEP THE
SEAS BELOW 3 FEET IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THEREFORE...BOATING CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE GOOD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  90  77  90 /  20  20  20  30 
FORT LAUDERDALE  78  90  79  90 /  20  20  20  20 
MIAMI            77  90  78  90 /  20  20  20  30 
NAPLES           75  91  75  92 /  30  30  20  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...54/BNB
LONG TERM....54/BNB

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