Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
301 PM CDT Thursday Sep 3 2015


Skies are mostly sunny across much of the forecast area this
afternoon with temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Very
little shower and thunderstorm activity has developed today in or
near the forecast area and what has developed should move out of
the region before sunset.

High pressure will remain in control of the weather over the
region for the next few days. As a result dry conditions will
prevail with temperatures remaining above normal through Sunday
night. Highs will be in the middle 90s with lows from the upper 60s
to middle 70s.

On Monday...a cold front will be moving into the Central Plains
and upper Mississippi Valley. Some thunderstorms are expected to
develop ahead of the front and some of this activity may reach far
northwest sections of the forecast area while the remainder of the
region will remain dry. As the front moves a little closer to the
forecast area...the small chance of thunderstorms over northwest
sections of the forecast area will continue for Monday night. The
front will continue to move closer to the region on Tuesday with a
chance of thunderstorms for the entire forecast area on Tuesday
and most areas for Tuesday night.

By Wednesday...the cold front will move into the forecast area
with a chance of thunderstorms expected for Wednesday and
Wednesday night. What is left of the cold front will move out of
the forecast area by next Thursday morning with a small chance of
thunderstorms possible. As slightly cooler air moves in behind the
front...temperatures will return to near normal levels by next



18z tafs

Light winds and VFR will continue...with high pressure prevailing
aloft and at the surface. Rain showers/thunderstorms and rain chances more limited than
yesterday and confined mainly to areas east of mkl-tup. Patchy
ground fog will be possible at tup and mkl toward sunrise Friday.



Meg watches/warnings/advisories...


National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations