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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
901 am CDT Monday Sep 22 2014

Update...

Made a minor update to the zones and grids to increase the wind
speeds slightly for today. The weather across the midsouth will be
terrific today with northeast winds of 10 to 15 miles per hour pushing mild
and dry air into the region. With near full sunshine...high
temperatures will climb into the 70s to around 80. High pressure
centered over the Central Plains will move slowly eastward today.

Jcl

&&

Discussion... /issued 415 am CDT Monday Sep 22 2014/

A cold front has moved through the middle south and currently resides
south of the area in central Mississippi. Winds are light and from
the north behind the front with temperatures ranging from middle 50s
in the northern sections of our forecast area to the middle 60s in
northern Mississippi.

Drier...cooler air will continue to filter into the middle-south
today as an upper level ridge builds over the region. Temperatures
will be below normal with highs ranging from the lower to middle 70s
in northwest Tennessee... the Missouri bootheel... and
northeastern Arkansas to near 80 in north Mississippi. The
autumnal equinox will be tonight at 922 PM but the first official
night of fall will feel more like middle fall with temperatures
falling into the upper 40s near the Tennessee River and lower 50s
elsewhere. Temperatures will remain below normal through middle week
as the ridge remains over the region. By Thursday the ridge will
have moved east of the area and temperatures will rebound to near
average values.

Models are in agreement that the next chance for precipitation will be
next weekend as an upper level low swings through the area from
the west pulling up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as it
advances east.

Jpm3

&&

Aviation...

12z taf cycle

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Light north/north-northeast winds
will increase to around 10 kts after 22/15z then become light
after 23/00z.

Cjc

&&

Meg watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
MO...none.
MS...none.
Tennessee...none.
&&

$$

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