Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
issued by National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
1131 am CST Thursday Feb 11 2016
Update.../issued 952 am CST Thursday Feb 11 2016/
Clouds remain across northeast portions of the area...while
mostly sunny skies prevail across the rest of the area.
Temperatures are on track and will climb into the lower 40s to the
middle 50s. Current forecast is on track...with near normal readings
Previous discussion... /issued 300 am CST Thursday Feb 11 2016/
Skies are cloudy over northern sections of the forecast area with
mostly clear skies elsewhere. Temperatures early this morning are
in the 20s to lower 30s. High pressure will build into the region
today keeping dry weather over the forecast area. Temperatures
will be close to normal levels today with highs from the lower 40s
to middle 50s. Tonight will remain dry and seasonable with lows from
the middle 20s to lower 30s.
By Friday...another shot of Arctic air will drop south into the
plains states and will reach the forecast area Friday night.
Before the Arctic air gets here temperatures will be once again
near normal levels for Friday with highs from the upper 40s to middle
50s. By Friday night temperatures will be quite cold with lows
Saturday morning in the 20s. Saturday will be quite cold with
highs in the 30s. Saturday night will be the coldest night with
lows Sunday morning from the middle teens to upper 20s.
Temperatures will moderate some on Sunday as the surface high
slides east. Highs on Sunday will remain below normal with
readings in the lower 30s to middle 40s. By Sunday night...low
pressure will move across North Texas. As the low moves closer to
the region. Moisture will move northward from the Gulf and bring
precipitation to the region. Precipitation type is still in
question depending on timing with rain expected in southern
sections of the forecast area and snow or a rain/snow mix over
northern sections. Temperatures warm on Monday as the low pulls
through central Mississippi and central Alabama. This will change
any winter precipitation over to rain in the morning with rain
ending Monday night.
Dry weather returns to the region on Tuesday with temperatures
warming into the 50s over most of the forecast area. Warmer
weather is expected on Wednesday as some locations may see
temperatures at or above 60 degrees.
VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. NE winds of 6-10
kts through 00z. Higher gusts at kjbr. After 00z...speeds will
decrease to around 5 kts. Weak front will move through the region
overnight...with wind shift to the north around 12/12-15z.