Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
557 am CST sun Nov 29 2015
Updated to include 12z aviation discussion below.
Previous discussion... /issued 313 am CST sun Nov 29 2015/
Skies are cloudy across much of the forecast area early this
morning with temperatures ranging from the lower 40s to the middle
60s. Scattered light showers continue to move across the forecast
area. The cold front currently extends across middle Tennessee
through northeast Mississippi and into central Louisiana.
The front will not move much during the day today so rain showers
will be found across the entire forecast area. Temperatures will
remain on the cool side over most of the forecast area with highs
today from the upper 40s to the middle 60s. The front will remain
over northeast Mississippi tonight with more rain showers
expected. Temperatures will be on the cool side with lows Monday
morning from the lower 40s to the middle 50s.
The front will remain fairly stationary on Monday so more showers
are expected across much of the forecast area for both Monday and
Monday night. Temperatures Monday and Monday night will be pretty
close to what they will be today and tonight.
The cold front will finally start to move out of the forecast area
on Tuesday. This will bring a gradually end to the rain with dry
weather moving across the forecast area from west to east Tuesday
and Tuesday night.
By Wednesday...high pressure will start to build into the region.
The will result in dry conditions with below normal temperatures.
The dry and cool period will extend from Wednesday through
Saturday with temperatures warming up some for Friday and
12z taf cycle
A stalled cold front over north Mississippi will keep
rain...fog...and low ceilings on all sites over the next 24
hours and possibly longer. IFR conds will prevail through the
majority of the period before a return to LIFR and possibly vlifr
after 30/06z. Winds will remain light less than 6 kts through the