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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
330 am CDT Sat Oct 10 2015


An upper level low pressure system centered over middle Tennessee
early this morning will continue to move east today as surface
high pressure builds south over the region. A much drier airmass
will filter in with low stratus eroding from west to east this
morning. Mostly cloudy skies east of the Mississippi River and
partly cloudy west will give way to mostly sunny skies by this
afternoon. Temperatures will be several degrees cooler with most
location remaining in the lower to middle 70s this afternoon with
lower humidity.

Middle level heights will quickly rise on Sunday as surface high
pressure moves east. Return southerly flow should support a rapid
warm up with highs reaching back into the upper 70s and lower 80s
on Sunday with continued dry conditions. Warm temperatures will
continue into Tuesday with highs a few degrees warmer with most
location reaching into the 80s. Low temperatures should start off
cool Sunday morning mostly in the 40s but rise into the 50s by
Monday morning.

Another cold front will push across the middle south Monday night.
Isolated to scattered showers will be possible with the frontal
passage but limited moisture should only support a few hundredths
of an inch at best with most locations remaining dry. Cooler
temperatures will again follow for Tuesday with highs mainly in
the 70s with lows again in the 40s to lower 50s.

Dry weather will persist through the middle to end of next week as
high pressure settles over the area. Temperatures will slowly
moderate through the end of the week back to near seasonal normals
with highs ranging from the middle 70s to around 80 degrees and
lows mainly in the 50s.




06z taf cycle

Post frontal rain showers associated are about to exit the midsouth. A
good deal of low level moisture is left behind the front so expect
an MVFR deck from time to time across most of the midsouth through
14-16z Saturday...then VFR areawide. IFR conds are possible at
ktup later tonight though confidence is not quite there to add
at this time. North winds 7-10 kts will diminish by 00z Sunday to 5 kts or



Meg watches/warnings/advisories...


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