Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
1152 PM CDT Friday Sep 19 2014
Updated for 06z aviation discussion.
Previous discussion... /issued 853 PM CDT Friday Sep 19 2014/
Updated forecast to include patchy fog overnight for the entire
midsouth. Any fog that develops will lift by 14z tomorrow morning.
Previous discussion... /issued 303 PM CDT Friday Sep 19 2014/
Skies are mostly sunny across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures mainly in the 80s. High pressure remains in
place over the northeast U.S. Which should keep things dry tonight
and into Saturday as well. Temperatures will remain above normal
on Saturday with highs in the upper 80s.
A cold front will move into the forecast area on Sunday. Moisture
will be somewhat limited ahead of the front so only scattered
thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front. The cold
front will move through the remainder of the forecast area Sunday
night with only a slight chance of thunderstorms expected mainly
over portions of north Mississippi.
Behind the cold front...cooler and drier will move into the region
by Monday. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
High pressure will remain in control of the weather for much of
next week. As the high move east of the forecast area by Tuesday
winds will begin to become more southerly and so temperatures will
gradually warm a few degrees. By Wednesday...temperatures will be
pretty close to normal levels and will remain that way through
06z taf period
VFR conditions will occur much of the period only exception will
be possible MVFR...IFR...and LIFR conditions throughout the night
and early morning due to fog. Areas of fog have already formed at
kmkl and will persist through the night with visibilities getting
as low as 1/4 sm. Fall will have lifted from all taf sites by 14z
tomorrow. Light winds will occur the rest of the night gradually
turning to the southeast. Winds Saturday will be around 7 kts before
subsiding after 00z. Fog will be possible at kmkl late in the