Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
119 PM CDT Sat may 25 2013
Discussion...
satellite shows some cumulus developing in the Guadalupe Mountains
with more expected down into the Davis Mountains this afternoon
intensifying into thunderstorms. The best rain chances will be in
the mountains with a cap in place over the central County Warning Area. There may
be some isolated showers developing in the eastern basin and
western Low Rolling Plains where deeper moisture will erode the
cap but not much activity is expected there.
Sunday and Monday will be warmer and dry due to weak upper
ridging/zonal flow. Dewpoints in the 50s and 60s will allow for
some afternoon cumulus both days very isolated showers perhaps
developing in the Davis Mountains or along the Lee trough but
chances are too low to warrant mentioning thunder in the forecast.
Tuesday an upper trough begins moving out of California backing
upper winds more southwesterly and pulling deeper moisture
further west. Weak disturbances ahead of the trough may get the
dryline active and have added slight chance to low chance probability of precipitation for
Tuesday and Wednesday. Will keep them in the east for now but this
may need to be extended west to include the entire County Warning Area. Lowering
heights will also help high temperatures drop to near normal.
The trough passes Thursday and zonal flow once again will bring a
return of warmer temperatures and dry conditions for the end of next
week.
Hennig
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Andrews Texas 67 95 68 97 / 10 10 10 10
Big Spring Texas 68 93 69 95 / 10 10 10 10
Carlsbad nm 66 99 65 100 / 20 0 10 10
Dryden Texas 69 93 69 94 / 20 10 10 10
Fort Stockton Texas 68 96 70 98 / 10 10 10 10
Guadalupe Pass Texas 62 88 62 91 / 20 0 10 10
Hobbs nm 64 97 65 97 / 20 10 10 10
Marfa Texas 60 90 61 92 / 20 10 10 10
Midland International Airport Texas 68 94 69 96 / 10 10 10 10
Odessa Texas 68 94 69 97 / 10 10 10 10
Wink Texas 68 99 70 102 / 10 10 10 10
&&
Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.
&&
$$
12/10
