Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
1223 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2015

Discussion...
upper low slowly wobbling east and will have decreasing cloud
cover over southeast nm and West Texas through the evening. A few MVFR cigs will
hang on for a couple more hours but will be turning VFR. Gusty north
wind will decrease and slowly veer around to the east overnight before
becoming light and variable.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 347 am CDT Tue Apr 28 2015/

Discussion...
an upper level low over the northern Permian Basin will push east
today bringing an end to rain chances. A cold front associated
with this low moved through the area yesterday and high pressure
behind the front brought below normal temperatures. Northerly
winds will continue to advect cool air into the area today and
tomorrow keeping temperatures below normal before an upper ridge
approaches from the west on Thursday, shifting surface winds from
the south and increasing temperatures back to near normal.

The upper ridge breaks down by the weekend leaving a modest
westerly mid level flow across the southwestern U.S. This will
keep a modest warming trend through Monday before another upper
level low moves onshore from the eastern Pacific near the
U.S./Mexico border. This will provide our next chance for
rainfall as upper flow backs from the southwest and becomes
diffluent increasing instability. Both the GFS and European model (ecmwf) Show Low
level moisture holding against the mountains in eastern New Mexico
so rain will be possible for much of the County Warning Area.

Hennig

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Andrews Texas 64 42 74 48 / 10 0 0 0
Big Spring Texas 63 44 74 49 / 20 0 0 0
Carlsbad nm 68 42 76 47 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden Texas 69 47 77 50 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton Texas 65 44 73 49 / 10 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass Texas 56 42 66 49 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs nm 64 40 73 47 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa Texas 58 35 68 40 / 0 0 0 0
Midland International Airport Texas 64 43 74 49 / 10 0 0 0
Odessa Texas 65 43 74 50 / 10 0 0 0
Wink Texas 68 43 75 49 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

&&

$$

Follow US on facebook and twitter at:
http://facebook.Com/nwsmidland
http://twitter.Com/nwsmidland

Check US out on the internet at:
http://weather.Gov/Midland

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations