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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
352 am CDT Wednesday may 6 2015

Short term...today through Saturday night
upper high pressure is over the eastern U.S. This morning with upper
low pressure over the High Plains and the Pacific northwest. The
upper low in the plains will lift northeast today and tonight as the
upper low in the west sinks southward. An upper low develops over
the southeast Thursday but the southwest flow over Arkansas will
continue as the upper low moves into The Rockies Saturday.

Models are in good agreement this morning. The southwest flow
aloft will continue over the state through the short term period.
Several short waves will move through the region during the period
and keep rain chances in for much of the period. Rain chances will
increase Saturday as a cold front moves into eastern Oklahoma and
stability decreases ahead of the front. Above normal temperatures
are expected to continue through the period.

&&

Long term...Sunday through Tuesday
southwest flow will continue into the long term...as upper low
meanders around The Rockies. Precipitation chances will depend on
when energy rotates around this large upper low...with several
rounds of rainfall. As surface low develops in the plains Sunday...a
cold front will approach from the northwest Sunday night into
Monday. High pressure will follow the front...with dry conditions
Tuesday. However...as is usual this time of year...the front will
slow/stall south of the state...and may affect rain chances exiting
southern counties.

High temperatures will be in the 70s and middle 80s...with a slight
cool down behind the front Tuesday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 81 63 83 64 / 10 10 20 30
Camden Arkansas 83 64 85 67 / 10 10 20 20
Harrison Arkansas 78 62 81 63 / 30 20 30 40
Hot Springs Arkansas 82 64 83 66 / 10 10 20 20
Little Rock Arkansas 83 64 84 66 / 10 10 20 20
Monticello Arkansas 83 64 85 66 / 10 10 10 20
Mount Ida Arkansas 81 64 83 66 / 20 10 20 20
Mountain Home Arkansas 79 61 82 63 / 20 10 30 40
Newport Arkansas 82 63 84 65 / 10 10 20 20
Pine Bluff Arkansas 83 64 85 66 / 10 10 10 20
Russellville Arkansas 80 63 82 65 / 20 10 30 30
Searcy Arkansas 82 63 84 65 / 10 10 20 20
Stuttgart Arkansas 83 64 85 66 / 10 10 20 20
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

$$

Short term...51 / long term...58

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